QB · CHI
Caleb Williams
Week 2 vs. MIN · 2026 season
Caleb Williams (CHI vs. MIN) grades 96 out of 100 for Week 2 — 3 of 83 scored QBs — on elite role, strong efficiency and a neutral matchup measured against other QBs. That projects to about 27.3 PPR points.
What drives the score
92th percentile among QBs. Recent-weighted usage — targets, carries and snaps.
92th percentile among QBs. PPR points per opportunity, regressed toward the positional mean.
59th percentile among QBs. Opponent points allowed to this position, plus game environment.
Each component is a 0–100 score, shown above alongside where it stands among QBs. The two differ on purpose: component scales are not comparable across positions — a receiver's share of his offense's work is structurally smaller than a starting quarterback's — so the percentile is the fair read, and the raw score is the published input. They combine multiplicatively — Role × Efficiency × Matchup × Availability — into a projected point total, which is then ranked within the position to produce the 0–100 Start Score. A great matchup for a low-usage player is still a bad start; role carries the most weight because usage is the most stable week-to-week predictor.
Recent usage
2026 season — most recent 1 week.
| Wk | Att | Carries | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29 | 10 | 37.3 |
How this number is calculated
The Start Score estimates Caleb Williams's expected PPR output for the upcoming week as Role × Efficiency × Matchup × Availability, then converts that projection to a 0–100 rating by percentile rank within the position. Role is recent-weighted usage over the last five games; efficiency is PPR points per opportunity regressed halfway toward the positional mean; matchup combines opponent points allowed to the position with the game's Vegas implied total; availability is a gate driven by injury designation.
Every input is computed from nflverse data (CC-BY 4.0) and Sleeper's public API. No machine-learning model is involved and no third-party projection is resold — the full formula, including every weight, is published on the Start Score methodology page.
Week 2, 2026 season · data through Week 1
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Open toolInformational only — not betting, DFS, or lineup advice. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. PPR scoring assumed. Data via nflverse (CC-BY 4.0) and Sleeper. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the NFL or Sleeper.